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ISP Working Paper | The 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict from Iran’s Perspective
/in Analysen, Armenien, Aserbaidschan, Postsowjetischer Raum, Working Papers /Vali KALEJIDuring the past two decades, the ceasefire in Karabakh had been breached several times by the Armenian and Azerbaijani parties. The most significant cases of violation of truce are the relatively comprehensive military encounter in the course of the four days war of April 2016, the four days war of July 2020 and the latest […]
ISP Working Paper | Great Power Conflicts and the Global Economy
/in Analysen, China, Europäische Union, Russland, USA, Working Papers /Muamer BECIROVICThe economic impact of COVID-19-pandemic is serious. Nearly every major power has suffered a massive drop in gross domestic product. Overnight, all economic vulnerabilities of the most powerful states in the world were exposed. The election of Donald Trump marked the beginning of the trend aimed at reassessing the economic vulnerability of one’s own state […]
ISP Working Paper | The Nagorno Karabakh Conflict and the Crisis in Turkey’s Domestic Politics
/in Analysen, Armenien, Aserbaidschan, Working Papers /Arif ASALIOGLUIn Turkey, the AKP-MHP (The Justice and Development Party – The Nationalist Movement Party) nationalist coalition is no longer able to solve problems inside and outside the country in usual ways. The South Caucasus has been added to the mechanism of conflicts in Syria, Libya and the Eastern Mediterranean. In view of the scale of […]
ISP Working Paper | New War in Nagorno Karabakh and the Role of Great Powers: What is Next?
/in Analysen, Armenien, Aserbaidschan, Postsowjetischer Raum, Working Papers /Benyamin POGHOSYANOn September 27, 2020, Azerbaijan launched a large-scale attack along the whole line of contact with the Nagorno Karabakh Republic. This was the third flare-up in Karabakh conflict in recent four years. In April 2016 Azerbaijan again launched an attack on Karabakh, however, hostilities were stopped after four days as a result of active Russian […]
ISP Working Paper | Evaluating the OSCE Minsk Group’s Mediation of the Armenia–Azerbaijan Conflict
/in Analysen, Armenien, Aserbaidschan, Working Papers /Esmira JAFAROVAThis working paper aims to analyze the mediation activity of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) Minsk Group through the prisms of theoretical approaches to international mediation. After providing a historical background to the mediation work of the Minsk Group Co-Chairs and highlighting the stages of the mediation, the article will further […]
ISP Working Paper | The Nagorno-Karabakh Tension
/in Analysen, Armenien, Aserbaidschan, Postsowjetischer Raum, Working Papers /Ilgar VELIZADESuch a severe aggravation of the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh has not been observed since 1994 the time when the conflicting parties reached an agreement on a ceasefire. By September 27, 2020, the situation in the military-political plane has reached its peak. On the morning of September 27, in response to another shelling of Azerbaijani positions […]
ISP Working Paper | The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Escalating Violence and Security Risks
/in Analysen, Armenien, Aserbaidschan, Postsowjetischer Raum, Russland, Working Papers /Sergey MARKEDONOVNew military escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh has again drawn attention to the situation in the Caucasus region. The Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict is not a new phenomenon in international politics. Many of its elements, such as the positions of the opposing sides themselves, as well as approaches of actors engaged in the peace settlement process, are well known. […]
ISP Working Paper | What to expect from another “milestone” election in Georgia
/in Analysen, Georgien, Working Papers /Tornike SHARASHENIDZEIn less than a month, parliamentary elections will be held in Georgia. After the volatile events of the last summer (the so-called Gavrilov Crisis – mass protests following the visit of the Russian parliamentary delegation and the crack-down on the rally), it was widely believed that the ruling party was doomed for a defeat. Thus, […]
ISP Working Paper | Political Crisis in Belarus: Sources, Evolution, and International Implications
/in Analysen, Belarus, Working Papers /Yauheni PREIHERMANIn recent years, Belarus seemed to be coming in from the cold internationally. After about two decades as a European outcast, Minsk started to emerge as an important regional security actor and as a place that had a lot more to offer than had been thought previously. In an attempt to normalise relations with the […]
ISP Working Paper | Political Crisis in Belarus: Reasons and Perspectives
/in Analysen, Belarus, Working Papers /Dzianis MELYANTSOUOn August 9, 2020, presidential elections were held in Belarus. According to official data voiced by the Central Election Commission, Aliaksandr Lukashenka, the incumbent president, won with a sweeping 80.1% majority. Ensuing protests became unprecedented in the history of independent Belarus in terms of both the number of people involved and violence used against protesters. […]