ISP Working Paper | Great Power Conflicts and the Global Economy

The economic impact of COVID-19-pandemic is serious. Nearly every major power has suffered a massive drop in gross domestic product. Overnight, all economic vulnerabilities of the most powerful states in the world were exposed. The election of Donald Trump marked the beginning of the trend aimed at reassessing the economic vulnerability of one’s own state […]

How American “Caesar Act” Will Affect the Situation in Syria and Moscow’s Policy

The parliamentary elections held in late July 2020 in Syria coincided with the expansion of the US Department of Treasury’s restrictive measures against the government of Bashar al-Assad. The settlement of the conflict itself is experiencing difficulties, and the economic situation in the country is only getting worse. Besides the destruction during the war, among […]

ISP Working Paper | Europe’s Role in the Corona and Post-Corona World

In order to understand how global political conflicts and social peace will look after the corona era, it is necessary to analyze how they are developing during the crisis itself. This working paper makes the argument that the existing tendencies will accelerate and endure after the crisis. The following four factors will be discussed here: […]

ISP Working Paper | The Future of the European Union in a Post-Pandemic World

In recent years the identity of the European Union has come to be inextricably linked with the logic of crisis. As opposed to other polities around the globe, the EU does not just face recurring crises but seems to exist in the very element of crisis. In a way, it welcomes crises. It has turned […]

ISP Working Paper | How COVID-19 Will Reinforce Trends Shaping the International Order

In just a few months, COVID-19 has turned our world upside down. The pandemic has claimed over 100,000 lives and untold economic damage. It is also affecting relations between states, in many cases, for the worse. These momentous events have led many to wonder what the pandemic means for the future of the international order. […]

ISP Working Paper | The Long March: Geopolitical Aspect of Transition to a New Global Order

In the past century, world order changes reflected the results of two world wars and the Cold War. The latter ushered in a period of Pax Americana – an unprecedented short era of one country’s – the United States of America’s – global dominance. This period featured a surge in globalization – a process of […]

ISP Working Paper | The Global Order After COVID-19

The COVID-19 pandemic is the most disruptive global event since the Great Depression and World War 2. At least 4.8 million people have been infected in less than six months; more than 300,000 have died, and many more deaths will occur even if effective vaccines or treatments are eventually developed. The economic costs are staggering: […]

How to Build a (Slightly) Better World after the Pandemic

The coronavirus crisis has demonstrated the distance between the type of world order Americans and people around the globe might like to attain and the type of world order that they actually have. This is a common feature of great global crises—they illuminate the gap between what is desirable and what actually exists. The current […]

COVID-19 and the Future Global Order

How will the corona virus pandemic change the global order that developed under American leadership after 1945? There will be changes, but one must be wary of assuming that “big causes” always have big effects. For example in 1918, Spanish flu killed more people than did World War I, yet the lasting global effects on […]

Russia’s position on the US-Iran confrontation. Watching from the sidelines

The escalation of tensions between Iran and the USA in January 2020 has once again raised the question of what positions will the influential actors take. Meanwhile, the international community perceives the US-Iran confrontation within the context of two key topics – the state of the “nuclear deal” and the regional policies of these states […]

Chinas Belt and Road Initiative – Europas geopolitische Herausforderung des 21. Jahrhunderts

„Wir wollen die Seidenstraßeninitiative vorantreiben, so dass die Menschen auf der ganzen Welt davon profitieren […]. Wir wollen eine Straße des Friedens schaffen.“ So die Botschaft von Chinas Präsidenten Xi Jinping in seiner Eröffnungsrede anlässlich des „One Belt, One Road Gipfels“ am 14. Mai 2017 in Peking an anwesenden Vertreter aus 110 Ländern, darunter 28 […]

Neutrality for Georgia. A Possible View From Washington

For most of the history of independent Georgia, the view towards Washington has looked more or less the same. The US has been a strong supporter of Georgia and has been one of the most countries most interested in bringing Georgia into Euro-Atlantic organizations, or to phrase it another way, into the US sphere of […]

Terrorism: A Continuing Threat

None of the modern terrorist groups conform fully to the traditional model of terrorism. Accordingly, they challenge counterterrorism polices and strategies which have long been oriented towards targeting terrorist organizations and their leaders. Because of the power of the Internet, social media and other 21st century communications platforms, the threat is changing and evolving rapidly […]

What Is Behind Trump’s Decision to Allow Turkey to Attack the Kurds?

On October 9, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced the beginning of a new military operation in Syria. “The Turkish Armed Forces, together with the Syrian National Army, just launched Operation Peace Spring against PKK/YPG and Daesh terrorists in northern Syria. Our mission is to prevent the creation of a terror corridor across our southern […]

Is Astana format on the way to be reformatted?

Another round of Astana Syria talks was held at the beginning of August in Kazakh capital Nur-Sultan. This format built around Russia, Turkey and Iran was launched back in January 2017 at the initiative of the Russian president Vladimir Putin. It had several main goals: First and foremost was to bring armed opposition and the […]