Die Zukunft des russischen plebiszitären Regimes

Aus dem Russischen von Alexander Dubowy   Seit den Präsidentschaftswahlen 2018 wurde die russische Politik durch mehrere Ereignisse entscheidend geprägt. Diese markieren den Beginn einer stürmischen Phase des politischen Systems Russlands. Insbesondere unter den jüngeren Generationen wächst die Bereitschaft zur politischen Partizipation und der Wunsch nach einer ernsthaften und offenen Diskussion über die politischen Perspektiven […]

Russia and the Western Balkans: A Last Stand or More of the Same?

As European leaders make it increasingly clear that rapid EU membership for the Western Balkans is out of the question, there is speculation that other global powers may also reconsider their strategies in the region. Due to its longstanding ties with the Balkans and vast experience in meddling, Russia sparks particular fear in the West. […]

Perspectives of EU – South Caucasus relations

South Caucasus is a part of the EU Eastern Partnership program. Launched in 2009, Program envisages fostering relations between the EU and the six former Soviet Union republics – Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. The key goal of the program was the signature of Association Agreements with Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area […]

Is Astana format on the way to be reformatted?

Another round of Astana Syria talks was held at the beginning of August in Kazakh capital Nur-Sultan. This format built around Russia, Turkey and Iran was launched back in January 2017 at the initiative of the Russian president Vladimir Putin. It had several main goals: First and foremost was to bring armed opposition and the […]

Wolodymyr Selenskyjs größte Show

Die Präsidentschaft des Ex-Komikers Wolodymyr Selenskyj erinnert bislang an eine Inszenierung der nächsten Staffel seiner Fernsehserie „Diener des Volkes“. Es gibt aber auch eine gute Nachricht: Die Ukraine wird unter dem politisch unerfahrenen Staatsoberhaupt nicht zerfallen.  Eigentlich wollten Ex-Präsident Petro Poroschenko und zweifache Ministerpräsidentin Julia Tymoschenko, zwei erfahrene Politakteure, die seit rund 20 Jahren die […]

EU Engagement in the South Caucasus: A Brief Stock-taking

This article assesses the EU’s engagement policies by tracing the background of the EU’s external policy-making abilities, by outlining EU objectives relative to the South Caucasus and matching those objectives against major events of the last ten years concerning the region. Finally, certain indicators, elicited by EU and South Caucasus experts, are measured to ascertain […]

Das Ende der Innenpolitik und der Beginn einer langwierigen politischen Krise des Kreml

Aus dem Russischen von Alexander Dubowy   Im Jahr 2018 trat das politische System Russlands in eine neue Phase seiner Entwicklung ein. Zum ersten Mal in seiner jüngsten Geschichte brachen die Unterstützungswerte für den Präsidenten und die Partei der Macht „Einheitlicher Russland“ innerhalb von drei Monaten, zwischen Juni und August 2018, deutlich ein. Bereits im […]

Russia as a Security Provider in the Middle East: Understanding the Limits and Opportunities

Since the start of the Russian military operation in Syria in 2015, the configuration of political forces in the Middle East began to undergo major changes. The dominance of the United States as a key security provider in the region, which was the issue since 1990s and accelerated with the invasion of Iraq in 2003, […]

Getting Deterrence Right on NATO’s Eastern Flank

Poland won’t exactly be getting the “Fort Trump” it wanted. But NATO’s robust force posture in the East, like Russia’s, still risks being misinterpreted.  On June 12, the Polish government finally secured its long-sought after joint declaration with Washington on enhancing the US military presence in Poland. As part of the intensive lobbying process leading […]

Russia Is Ours

Anton Shekhovtsov, Expert, European Platform for Democratic Elections; Associate Research Fellow, Institute for Euro-Atlantic Cooperation (Ukraine)   In his manifesto published in the beginning of March 2019, French President Emmanuel Macron called for a renewal of the project of a united Europe based on the ideas of freedom, protection of the continent, and progress.[1] Speaking […]

Five years Eurasian Economic Union: challenges, accomplishments and prospects

The views expressed in the article are solely that of the author and may not represent that of the Higher School of Economics and IIASA.   In 2019 the EAEU is officially celebrating its five-year anniversary. The aim of the following four articles is to look into the following questions: What have been the achievements […]

Geopolitical honeymoon in Moldova’s foreign policy: how sustainable is it?

The Moldovan ruling parties have never build such a united foreign policy as after ousting the oligarchic regime in June 2019. After the Moscow-backed failed Kozak Memorandum in 2003, the political class was avidly exploiting the geopolitical binary orientation. In return, the elites searched for material benefits, and moral and political legitimization at home – […]

Belarus Muddling through Geopolitical Uncertainties

In two recent years leading Western media and think tanks have written about Belarus, perhaps, more than they did in the previous two decades. Most reports focus on Russian policies towards neighbours, and Belarus in particular (or what journalists and analysts presume those policies are), and Minsk’s actions in that context. Thus, in a way, […]

The Gavrilov Crisis

Just about a week ago Georgia looked like just another post-Soviet country with its democracy in decline as its ruling party had all branches of power and most of the media sources under tight control. The economy almost stagnated with only tourism industry showing signs of growth, mostly at the expense of the Russian tourists. […]

Ukraine between Elections

Outcome of presidential elections in Ukraine came as a huge surprise. Comedian Volodymyr Zelenskyy scored 73% of votes, winning by almost 50% margin against incumbent Petro Poroshenko. Along with lack of experience, a new president will have to deal with peculiarities of Ukrainian political system, which places most of power into the hands of the […]